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Must-Read Essays

The American Heart Association Diet: Is It Based on a Flawed Theory?

Could the American Heart Association diet -- and diets like it, such as the ones prescribed by the National Institutes of Health and the USDA -- be premised on a bad theory? And, if so, what might this imply about the culture of science as it is generally practiced today?

Three Blind Mice: Have our public health authorities really all made a fundamental mistake about what a balanced diet should be?

For decades, we've been told that "a calorie is a calorie" and that the alpha and omega of weight control is calorie control. It's not the quality of the calories that we eat that matters -- it's the quantity, pure and simple. This is the message that the American Heart Association diet and other mainstream weight loss programs have hammered home.

Perhaps the most compelling reason why most of us believe that calories "count" is that everyone around us seems to believe that they do. From your next door neighbor to your doctor to the Surgeon General, practically no one disputes that overeating and inactivity lead to weight gain and that, conversely, eating less and exercising more lead to weight loss. As we've been discussing, the basic convictions of the American Heart Association diet come from a theory about energy balance in the body that is technically known as the Caloric Balance Hypothesis. The public support for this hypothesis is utterly overwhelming.

However, as we have explored at length, there's an alternative theory about what controls our weight. The Lipophilia Hypothesis argues that calories don't count. The heart of the American Heart Association diet is wrong. Instead, what counts is the hormonal and metabolic environment of our fat tissue. This theory says that low-carb diets are healthiest and that the "balanced" American Heart Association diet -- with its copious amounts of fresh fruits and whole grains; and its restricted amounts of fats -- may in fact be unhealthy, since fruit juices and starches elevate insulin levels and thus cause us to store fat in our fat tissue.

At first glance, Lipophilia may seem like a compelling (if surprising) idea. But in order for us to feel comfortable embracing this theory, we must somehow account for how it is possible that nearly every public health expert on Earth supports the other theory. Could all these people -- many of the engineers of the American Heart Association diet are utterly brilliant, no doubt -- possibly have made such a significant and costly error about the nature of a healthy diet?

One way to go about answering this question -- other than simply examining the relative merits of the two hypotheses, which we do elsewhere on this site -- is to search for like examples.

In other words, can we find other instances of institutional blindness of this magnitude? Can we find examples of other whole communities of experts becoming biased towards bad/implausible hypotheses -- while simultaneously ignoring much better ones? If we can, that would in a sense validate our alternative point of view -- or at least make it more plausible.

Below, we will attempt to show that institutional blindness of the kind that Lipophilia alleges led to the American Heart Association diet can and does occur in science... and with an alarming frequency:

Common QuestionConventional Explanation Most People BelieveAlternative Explanation That Is Closer to Reality
What Shape Is Planet Earth?The Earth is a sphere. Duh.No. It is actually an oblate spheroid
Who Wrote Shakespeare's Plays?Why William Shakespeare, of course!Actually, it appears more plausible that a nobleman named Edward De Vere did.
Why Do Newborn Babies Get Colicky?An array of factors, such as: stomach discomfort/gas, easily disturbed temperament, overstimulation, food allergies, immature nervous system, etcWrong. The ultimate cause is the absence of a '4th Trimester' in the womb
What's More Important, Talent or Practice?They are both important. But talent plays a huge role.Wrong. Talent is way overrated. What seems to matter much more is deliberate practice.
Who is More Important in Terms of Influencing a Child's Development, Parents or Peers?Both may influence development, but of course parents are ultimately much more important.Not necessarily. Peer groups seem to be far more influential than most of us realize... and parents seem to be far less influential.
Will Winning the Lottery Make You Happier? Conversely, Will Becoming a Quadriplegic Make You Less Happy?Yes and Yes. Obviously.Actually, the answer - at least over the long term - appears to be No to both!
Will More Choices Make You More or Less Satisfied?Yes. The more choices you have, the more comfortable you will be that the choice you pick will be the right one. Ergo, you will be more satisfied.No. Paradoxically, too much choice can lead to intense dissatisfaction. (e.g. think of how overwhelmed/uncertain you feel when choosing a dish off a really long menu at a restaurant.)
What is Carpal Tunnel Syndrome? And what is the cure?Overuse injury that results in damage to the carpal tunnel in the wrist. Cure is rest, wrist splints, medicines, cortisone injections, and surgeryOveruse injury that results in damage to an entire ensemble of soft tissues, ligaments, nerves and muscles -- it is generally NOT limited to the wrists/hands but typically extends into the entire upper thoracic region (arms, chest, back, etc). Cure involves tissue manipulation, massage, reconditioning, trigger point therapy, etc. Does NOT involve pain-killing meds, splints, cortisone injections, and surgery, since these treatments do not rectify the fundamental insults/damage to the soft tissues.
Is Salt the Primary Cause of Hypertension?Yes. Obviously, eating too much salt will give you high blood pressure, and thus salt in the diet should be limited.Wrong. Dietary salt is not the problem. The ultimately problem (contrary to what the American Heart Association diet will tell you) is - you guessed it - dietary carbohydrates.
Should Car Seats for Kids Over 2 Years Old Be Required?Obviously. Because this will result in fewer deaths on the road.Not according to the statistics. Standard lap belts apparently work as well as car seats for 2+ year old kids in terms of preventing fatalities.
What's More Dangerous, Driving Under the Influence of Alcohol or Driving While Text-Messaging?Clearly driving DUI is far worse.Not necessarily. Obviously driving DUI is very dangerous. But driving while text messaging appears to be even more dangerous
Which Country Did the Lion's Share of the Work in Defeating Nazi Germany, the U.S. or the Soviet Union? The U.S.A. of course. We are #1!While the U.S. no doubt played a key role in subduing the Nazis, the Soviet Union sacrificed far more and did the brunt of the fighting.
Historically, Has Carbon Dioxide Caused Big Changes in Global Temperature?Yes, CO2 is a greenhouse gas. CO2 controls temperature. For proof, see the movie An Inconvenient Truth in which Al Gore shows off a graph comparing CO2 and global temperature for hundreds of thousands of years. They clearly fit together; ergo, CO2 controls temperature.What Al Gore (and other pro-global warming advocates) fail to mention is that the historical relationship between CO2 and global temperature is reversed. There was an 800 year lag between temperature changes and changes in CO2 levels. The most plausible hypothesis to explain this is that the sun caused the temperature changes, which in turn caused the CO2 changes. The correlation between CO2 and temp existed, but the causality should be reversed. It is the same exact cause-effect confusion that we are alleging has happened with respect to calorie balance and obesity - the reason why the American Heart Association diet fails.
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